Infectious Diseases
○ Informa UK Limited
Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Infectious Diseases's content profile, based on 14 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Pinto, T. F.; Santoro, A.; Oliveira, A. L. G.; Tavares, T. S.; Almeida, A.; Incardona, F.; Marchetti, G.; Cozzi-Lepri, A.; Pinto, J.; Caporali, J. F. M.
Show abstract
Background: How post-COVID-19 condition (PCC) differs from post-acute infection syndromes (PAIS) caused by other respiratory viruses remains uncertain. Comparing these conditions may clarify whether post-acute symptoms reflect specific consequences of SARS-CoV-2 infection or broader post-viral mechanisms. Methods: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies comparing persistent symptoms or conditions in adults after SARS-CoV-2 infection with those following other acute respiratory viral infections. PubMed, Embase, and Scopus were searched. Random-effects models were used to estimate pooled risks. Results: Among 9,371 records screened, 22 studies were included and 14 contributed to the meta-analysis. Increased risk after SARS-CoV-2 infection was observed for pulmonary embolism, abnormal breathing, fatigue, hemorrhagic stroke, memory loss/brain fog, and palpitations; heart rate abnormalities showed borderline significance. For most other outcomes pooled estimates were inconclusive. Conclusions: Only a subset of outcomes appears more frequent after SARS-CoV-2 infection, suggesting many symptoms attributed to PCC may reflect broader post-viral syndromes.
Jamard, S.; Le Moal, g.; Plouzeau-Jayle, c.; Arvieux, C.; Ressier, S.; Lecomte, r.; Corvec, S.; Ansart, S.; Lamoureux, C.; Abgueguen, P.; Chenouard, R.; Lartigue, M. F.; Lemaignen, A.
Show abstract
Abstract Introduction: Streptococcus is the second genus involved in bone and joint infections (BJIs) after Staphylococcus. Streptococcus agalactiae is the predominant Streptococcus species implicated in BJIs. However, unlike Staphylococcus-related BJIs, data on S. agalactiae infections remain scarce. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study from the West Region cohort of the CRIOAc registry among six university hospitals including all microbiologically confirmed streptococcal BJI in adults between 2014 and 2023. Results: 1454 patients were included, with a median age of 67 years and 65% male. S. agalactiae was the predominant streptococcal species involved 423/1454(29%). The most prevalent comorbidities identified were obesity (378/1454;26%) and diabetes mellitus (343/1454;24%). Prosthetic joint infections (PJIs) were the most common (653/1454;45%), although diabetic foot osteitis was less prevalent overall, it was significantly more associated with S. agalactiae infections (48/423;11% versus 70/1031;7%, p=0.05). S. agalactiae BJIs were more frequently lower-limb infections and chronic infections (240/423;57% versus 502/1031;49%, p=0.04). Half of the cohort had a polymicrobial infection and were slightly more frequent with S. agalactiae BJIs (235/423;56% versus 498/1031;48%, p=0.1). These results were consistent with a sensitivity analysis excluding diabetic foot related osteitis. Logistic regression analysis identified arteriopathy (OR: 4.16; IC95:1.64-11.24, p=0.003), and obesity (OR: 2.57; IC95: 1.41-4.78, p=0.002) as specific risk factors for S. agalactiae BJIs. Conclusion: S. agalactiae emerges as a prominent and distinct pathogen in complex streptococcal BJIs, with specific risk factors such as arteriopathy, obesity and diabetes mellitus, and more chronic infections.
MacLean, E. L.; Ma, T. T.; Chuong, L. H.; Minh, K. H.; Hoddinott, G.; Pham, Y. N.; Tiep, H. T.; Nguyen, T.-A.; Fox, G.; Nguyen, N. T.
Show abstract
Introduction Improved diagnostics are needed for people at risk of tuberculosis, especially adolescents. Tongue swab (TS) molecular testing has emerged as a promising strategy for tuberculosis diagnosis. We evaluated diagnostic accuracy and acceptability of Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra (Xpert) using TS samples for tuberculosis detection among adolescents. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy study with consecutive recruitment in Vietnam. Adolescents aged 10-19 who were recommended to undergo investigation for tuberculosis and had not received tuberculosis treatment in the past years were eligible. Participants provided TS and sputum samples and completed a structured survey regarding sampling experiences. TS was tested on Xpert, with sputum tested on Xpert and liquid culture. We utilised a composite reference standard of a positive result on sputum Xpert or sputum culture to define disease status. Sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic yield were calculated for TS Xpert. Results From July to December 2025, we enrolled 225 adolescents from Can Tho and An Giang provinces in southern Vietnam. Fewer than half (96/225, 43%) the participants exhibited a tuberculosis -like symptom, and the majority (157/225, 70%) were close contacts of a person recently diagnosed with tuberculosis. TS were collected from all adolescents, while 116 (52%) could provide mucopurulent sputum. Tuberculosis prevalence was relatively low (12/225, 5.3%). TS Xpert sensitivity (90% CI) and specificity (90% CI) were 58.3% (35.6, 78.0) and 99.5% (97.9, 99.9), respectively. Diagnostic yield among all diagnosed was 58.3% (7/12). TS sampling was highly acceptable to adolescents; the short time and simplicity of collecting TS were considered favourably. Conclusions The sensitivity and diagnostic yield of TS Xpert was relatively low among adolescents recommended for tuberculosis investigation, which includes asymptomatic individuals who may not provide high quality sputum. Specificity was excellent, and everyone could provide a TS. TS high acceptability indicates it remains a promising sample for diagnostic algorithms.
Rima, M.; Chauffour, A.; Tournebize, R.; Poignon, C.; Coradin, T.; Aubry, A.; Veziris, N.
Show abstract
The lack of a reliable chronic murine model limits drugs evaluation against Mycobacterium abscessus. Models show discrepancies, especially regarding host factors (mouse strain, sex and age). Using beads-model, we compared BALB/cJRJ and C57BL/6NCrl across sexes and ages. BALB/cJRJ showed more sustained infection and lower variability, with no significant sex- or age-related differences. Considering these results and the higher prevalence of NTM pulmonary infections in female patients, 5-6 weeks-old female BALB/cJRJ are appropriate for M. abscessus beads-model.
Haddan, S.; Waqas, A.; Rasool, G.; Schabath, M. B.
Show abstract
Background: Our group previously reported that lung cancer (LC) screening history results and subsequent timing of diagnosis are associated with significant differences in survival outcomes. As a follow-up study, we sought to develop novel personalized risk models that considered screening history for incidence cancers, interval LCs, and prevalence LCs. Methods: Using data from the CT-arm of the NLST, four independent case-control analyses were conducted to develop parsimonious risk models. Controls (n=26,038) were those never diagnosed with LC. The four LC case groups were 270 prevalence LCs, 44 interval LCs, 206 screen-detected LCs (SDLCs) that had a baseline positive screen, and 164 SDLCs that had a baseline negative screen. For each case-control analysis, univariable analyses identified statistically significant covariates from 48 variables and then significant covariates were included into a stepwise backward selection approach to identify a model with the most informative covariates. Results: For prevalence LCs, the model (AUC=0.711) included age, pack-years smoked, BMI, smoking status, smoking onset age, personal history of cancer, family history of LC, alcohol consumption, and milling occupation. For interval LCs, the model (AUC=0.734) included age, smoking status, smoking onset age, cigar smoking, marital status, and asbestos occupation. For baseline positive SDLCs, the model (AUC=0.685) included age, pack-years smoked, BMI, emphysema, chemicals/plastics exposure, and milling occupation. For baseline negative SDLCs, the model (AUC=0.701) included age, pack-years smoked, BMI, smoking status, emphysema, sarcoidosis, and sandblasting occupation. Conclusions: Besides smoking and age, which are inclusion criteria for screening, these models identified other important risk factors which could be used to provide personalized LC risk assessment and screening management.
Fan, S.-Q.; Wang, R.-R.; Colombo, R.; Tang, K.-C.; Liu, J.-W.; Pontoglio, A.; Zhang, L.-L.; Li, K.; Han, S.-R.; Zhang, H.; Bai, X.; Yu, X.; Habulieti, X.; Liu, K.-Q.; Sun, Y.; Sun, L.-W.; Liu, H.; Sun, M.; Lin, Z.-M.; Zhang, F.-R.; Ma, D.-L.; Zhang, X.
Show abstract
Background: Human papillomaviruses (HPVs) pose a severe threat to global public health by driving nonmelanoma skin cancer (NMSC) and cervical cancer, with NMSC being one of the most common cancers worldwide. Epidermodysplasia verruciformis (EV) is an inborn error of immunity characterized by an increased susceptibility to persistent infection of cutaneous HPV and a high risk of NMSC. The genetic basis remains unknown in many patients with EV. Methods: We collected four unrelated pedigrees with EV. Genetic analysis identified five variants in JAK1 encoding the Janus kinase 1. Ex vivo models and patient-derived tissue were employed to evaluate the functional effects of JAK1 variants and delineate the pathogenic mechanisms. Results: We identified different variants in JAK1 in four pedigrees with dominant EV. Genetic analysis revealed five novel variants in JAK1, three of which resulted in nonsense-mediated mRNA decay (NMD). Functional assays identified a decreased phosphorylation of the signal transducers and activators of transcription (STATs), impaired interferon responses, and defective T cell activation. Immune dysregulation in patients, characterized by a reduced CD4/CD8 T cell ratio, decreased CD8 naive T cell proportion, and accumulated memory T cells, implies impaired antiviral immunity against HPV. Conclusions: Our findings confirm that JAK1 loss-of-function (LOF) variants underlie susceptibility to cutaneous HPV infection. [Funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (81788101, 81230015, 82394420, and 82394423), the National Key Research and Development Program of China (2022YFC2703900), the CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (2021-I2M-1-018), and the Regione Lombardia, Italy (Innovative Research Project 1137-2010)].
Santos, P. C. P. d.; Goncalves, T. O.; Cunha, E. A. T.; Walter, K. S.; de Lima, E. L.; Croda, J.; Andrews, J. R.; Goncalves, C. C. M.; da Silva, K. E.
Show abstract
Background: Tuberculosis recurrence accounts for a substantial proportion of incident tuberculosis in many settings. Distinguishing between its mechanisms can inform public health interventions for prevention. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study of individuals with multiple culture-confirmed TB episodes and available sequential isolates from 2012 to 2023 in Dourados and Campo Grande, Mato Grosso do Sul state, Brazil. Patients were classified as having recurrent TB after treatment completion or retreatment following non-curative outcomes. Whole-genome sequencing was used to assess pairwise genetic distances between isolates, classifying relapse or persistent infection ([≤]12 single-nucleotide polymorphisms [SNPs]) versus reinfection or retreatment with reinfection (>12 SNPs). Results: Among 9,293 individuals with TB, 772 recurrent or retreatment episodes were identified. Paired isolates from 82 individuals were available for comparisons. Among individuals who completed treatment, reinfection accounted for 74.1% (40/54) of recurrent episodes, while 25.9% (14/54) were classified as relapse. Among individuals with non-curative outcomes, persistent infection (53.6%, 15/28) and retreatment with reinfection (46.4%, 13/28) occurred at similar frequencies. Persistent infection and relapse occurred earlier after the initial episode, whereas reinfection and retreatment with reinfection predominated after two years. Incarceration history was strongly associated with reinfection after treatment completion (92.5%, p=0.012) and after non-curative outcomes (76.9%, p=0.016). Conclusions: In this high-burden setting, reinfection drives TB recurrence among individuals who complete treatment, particularly at longer intervals after initial disease, reflecting sustained exposure risk. Relapse and persistent infection remain clinically important, especially following non-curative outcomes. These findings underscore the need for integrated strategies combining adherence support to prevent treatment-related recurrence with interventions to reduce transmission, particularly in high-risk settings.
Nguyen, H. T.; Codlin, A. J.; Vo, L.; Nguyen, N.; Forse, R.; Dang, H.; Nguyen, L. H.; Hoa, N. B.; Dinh, L. V.; Doan, H. T.; Nguyen Van, H.; Creswell, J.; Garg, T.; Cubas Atienzar, A. I.; Byrne, R. L.; Iem, V.; Squire, B.; Forsman, L. D.; Wingfield, T.
Show abstract
Objectives: A pooled testing algorithm for tuberculosis (TB), in which sputum specimens from multiple individuals are tested in pools with individual testing of positive pools, can optimise diagnostic resources. This study evaluated the diagnostic accuracy and cartridge savings of pooled testing with the Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra assay (Xpert Ultra) relative to individual Xpert Ultra testing. Methods: We conducted a cross sectional study among 2,396 adults (aged above 15 years) with presumptive TB enrolled between July 2024 and February 2025, through facility based case finding (FBCF) and community based case finding (CBCF). Participants submitted two sputum specimens. The first underwent individual Xpert Ultra testing; remnant specimens were combined into four specimen pools and tested again with Xpert-Ultra. The second specimen was used to inoculate liquid culture (BACTEC MGIT). Data were used to simulate an up-front pooled testing strategy; sensitivity and specificity of this approach was estimated against culture, and cartridge use was compared with individual Xpert-Ultra testing. Results: Of 2,396 participants, 395 (16.5%) had a positive Xpert Ultra and/or culture, including 360/912 (39.5%) in FBCF and 35/1484 (2.4%) in CBCF. The pooled testing approach had sensitivity of 82.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 77.9; 86.3) and specificity of 98.5% (97.8; 99.0) compared to culture, with lower sensitivity than individual Xpert-Ultra testing (86.5%, 82.4; 89.9) but high specificity (98.1%, 97.4; 98.7). Sensitivity of pooled testing was lower in CBCF (59.1%, 36.4; 79.3) than in FBCF (84.0%, 79.5;87%), whereas cartridge savings were greater in CBCF (69.1% vs 9.6%). The pooling strategy reduced Xpert-Ultra cartridge use by 46.5%, saving USD 14,447. Conclusions: Pooled Xpert-Ultra testing among adults appears resource-efficient for TB screening in Vietnam. As sensitivity is lower compared to individual Xpert Ultra testing, particularly for paucibacillary disease, these losses should be carefully weighed against gains in affordability and expand access to molecular testing. Careful, context-specific implementation is essential to maximise programmatic benefit while minimising missed persons with TB.
Hsieh, J. W.; Dougherty, M.; Poulopoulou, A.; Blidariu, D.; Senn, P.; Hopper, R.; Patel, D.; Maggioni, E.; Obrist, M.; Vosshall, L. B.; Keller, A.; Landis, B.
Show abstract
Background: Smell testing is increasingly recognized as essential in rhinology practice but remains underutilized because of time constraints and limited clinical resources. This study aimed to evaluate the performance (test-retest reliability, accuracy and test completion time) of a self-administered, digital version of SMELL-RS, a non-semantic test of olfactory resolution (SMELL-R) and sensitivity (SMELL-S). Methodology: We performed a test-retest reliability study in a tertiary care facility. We enrolled 100 subjects with and without smell dysfunction. The primary outcome measures were two replicates of olfactory test scores (SMELL-RS composite score, SMELL-R score, SMELL-S score). The secondary outcome measures were Sniffin Sticks score, test completion time, patient demographics, and other clinical characteristics (clinical symptoms, etiologies). Results: The SMELL-RS composite score was reliable (ICC=0.71; p<0.0001) and correlated with the Sniffin Sticks composite score (r=0.68; p<0.0001). Different etiologies have different magnitudes of smell loss as revealed by the SMELL-RS score. SMELL-S reduces misdiagnosis associated with Sniffin Sticks threshold tests. The average completion time of the olfactory resolution test (SMELL-R) was on average 5.9 minutes (SD=1.9), while the average completion time of the olfactory sensitivity test (SMELL-S) was 5.5 minutes (SD=2.7). This is two to three times faster than the corresponding Sniffin Sticks tests. Conclusions: SMELL-RS is a rapid, fully automated, reliable, and accurate olfactory test suitable for self-administration in a clinical setting.
Carstens, G.; Mazzoli, M.; Gozzi, N.; van Hoek, A. J.; Paolotti, D.
Show abstract
Background: The annual respiratory season in Europe is marked by the co-circulation of multiple respiratory pathogens, such as influenza viruses, rhinoviruses, and coronaviruses. Effective surveillance is necessary but hampered by heterogeneity of case definitions and limited pathogen specificity in existing systems. This study aims to detect pathogen-specific signals in the participatory surveillance of the Netherlands using a sub-set of samples with virological detection. Additionally, we explore a method to use the findings in the Netherlands to enhance the virological interpretation of participatory surveillance data in Italy. Methods: We analyzed symptom data collected through a participatory surveillance platform in the Netherlands and Italy over five years (2020-2025). Symptom-by-week matrices from the Dutch cohort were aggregated into syndromes and their associated time series using Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF). We compared the respective time series of the syndromes with influenza virus, SARS-CoV-2, seasonal coronaviruses, RSV, and rhinovirus incidence estimated from nose- and throat swabs of a subsample of symptomatic participants of the participatory surveillance platform in the Netherlands. We tested the transferability of these components by applying the Dutch-derived components to describe Italian symptom data and extract respective incidences. Results: NMF identified eight symptom clusters in the Dutch cohort, one aligning with SARS-CoV-2, one aligning with rhinovirus and a third component aligning with influenza virus, RSV and seasonal incidences estimated from collected nose- and throat swabs. Transferring Dutch-derived symptom clusters to Italian data showed consistency in key components between Dutch and Italian cohorts, particularly those associated with SARS-CoV-2. Conclusion: This study demonstrates that unsupervised symptom decomposition can identify co-circulating respiratory pathogens trends from syndromic surveillance data, providing timely pathogen circulation insights.
Issa, F.; Trad, F.; Zein, N.; Abunasser, S.; Nizamuddin, P. B.; Salameh, I.; Ayoub, H.; Al-Abbadi, B.; Al-Hiary, M.; Abou-Nouar, Z.; Al-Subeihi, O.; Al-Zubi, Y.; Al-Manaseer, A.; Al-Jaloudi, A.; Nasrallah, D.; Younes, S.; Younes, N.; Abdallah, M.; Pieri, M.; Nicolai, E.; YASSINE, H. M.; Abu-Raddad, L. J.; Nasrallah, G.
Show abstract
Introduction: Herpes simplex virus type 1 (HSV-1) is highly prevalent worldwide, making accurate serological testing essential for both clinical diagnosis and epidemiological surveillance. Automated chemiluminescent immunoassays (CLIAs) offer operational advantages over enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs); however, their diagnostic performance relative to Western blot (WB) confirmation in high-prevalence settings remains insufficiently characterized. Hypothesis/Gap Statement: The comparative diagnostic accuracy of CLIA- and ELISA-based assays for HSV-1 IgG detection, when benchmarked against a WB reference standard in endemic populations, remains unclear. Aim: This study aimed to evaluate HSV-1 IgG seroprevalence and diagnostic performance of one CLIA and two ELISA platforms using Western blot as the reference method. Methodology: Four hundred archived serum samples from adult male craft and manual workers in Qatar were tested using the Mindray CL-900i CLIA, HerpeSelect ELISA, NovaLisa ELISA, and Euroimmun Western blot. Seroprevalence, diagnostic accuracy, and interassay agreement were assessed using WB as the reference standard, with equivocal and indeterminate results excluded from analysis. Results: HSV-1 IgG seroprevalence estimates were comparable across assays: HerpeSelect 72.5%, Mindray 70.5%, NovaLisa 66.3%, and Western blot 66.5%, with no statistically significant differences (all p > 0.05). The Mindray CLIA demonstrated the highest diagnostic performance (sensitivity 95.7%, specificity 88.9%, accuracy 93.4%) and strong agreement with Western blot ({kappa} = 0.85). HerpeSelect showed substantial agreement ({kappa} = 0.81), while NovaLisa exhibited lower specificity. Conclusion: CLIA- and ELISA-based assays produced comparable HSV-1 seroprevalence estimates in this high-prevalence population; however, diagnostic accuracy varied across platforms. The CLIA platform demonstrated the strongest agreement with Western blot, supporting its use in high-throughput settings, while confirmatory testing remains important to minimize misclassification.
Hassan, S. S.; Nordqvist-Kleppe, S.; Asinger, N.; Wang, J.; Dillner, J.; Arroyo Muhr, L. S.
Show abstract
Human papillomavirus (HPV) testing is the primary method for cervical cancer screening, and a negative HPV test is associated with a very low subsequent risk of invasive cancer. Nevertheless, a small number of cervical cancers are diagnosed following an HPV-negative testing result, posing challenges within HPV-based screening pathways. Using nationwide Swedish registry data of HPV testing, we identified women diagnosed with invasive cervical cancer between 2019 and 2024 and reconstructed HPV testing histories from the National Cervical Screening Registry (NKCx). The most recent HPV test prior to diagnosis was defined as the index test, and longitudinal HPV testing trajectories were classified among women with an HPV-negative index test. Of 3,000 women diagnosed with invasive cancer, 243 (8.1%) had an HPV-negative index test. These women were older at diagnosis and more frequently diagnosed at advanced stages compared with women with an HPV-positive index test. Most HPV-negative index tests (66.3%) were performed in the peri-diagnostic period (+/- 30 days). Among women with an HPV-negative index test, 52.7% (128/243) had no prior HPV testing recorded, while the remainder had consistently HPV-negative histories (33.3%, 83/243) or evidence of prior HPV positivity before the index negative test (14%, 32/243). Possible recurrent HPV positivity following an intervening negative test was rare (0.4%, 1/243). HPV-negative screening results preceding invasive cancer reflect heterogeneous screening histories and cannot be explained solely by test failure. Findings highlighting the importance of reaching women earlier in screening programs and show that fluctuating HPV detectability is rare.
Lima, A.; Campos, I.; Kim, D.; Shiiba, M.; Cranmer, L. M.; Acacio, S.; Garcia-Basteiro, A. L.; Vasudevan, L.; Nelson, K. N. B.
Show abstract
New tuberculosis (TB) vaccines for adults and adolescents could transform TB prevention programs, but their impact depends on successful implementation. We investigated willingness to be vaccinated with a new TB vaccine in a high HIV and TB burden setting in southern Mozambique in 2024 using a mixed methods approach involving a cross-sectional survey and concurrent in-depth interviews. In 151 surveys and 23 interviews, we found that willingness to receive a new TB vaccine among adults and adolescents was 77% (148/192) overall. In multivariable analysis, adolescents were more willing to receive a new TB vaccine than adults even when adjusting for other factors which may influence vaccination decisions (adjusted OR: 5.6, 95% CI: 1.7-17.7). Personal experience with TB and greater knowledge of the disease was also linked with willingness to be vaccinated. Qualitative findings reinforced quantitative findings, further clarifying that even among those who expressed hesitancy, a safe and effective TB vaccine endorsed by healthcare workers, government agencies, and community leaders would likely have high uptake. Our findings are specific to southern Mozambique and can shape vaccine introduction efforts after a TB vaccine is licensed and approved for use in this age group.
Sakyi, E.; Molebatsi, K.; Modongo, C.; Shin, S. S.
Show abstract
BackgroundDelayed tuberculosis (TB) treatment remains a major challenge to TB control and is associated with increased mortality, drug resistance, and onward transmission. Food insecurity may contribute to delayed TB treatment through economic, physical, and psychosocial pathways. Depression and anxiety are also associated with delayed TB treatment and may mediate the relationship between food insecurity and delayed TB treatment. This study examined the association between food insecurity and delayed TB treatment initiation and assessed the mediation roles of depression and anxiety for this relationship among people newly diagnosed with TB. MethodsWe recruited 180 participants newly diagnosed with TB in Gaborone, Botswana. Food insecurity, depression, and anxiety were measured using the Household Food Insecurity Access Scale, PHQ-9, and Zung Self-Rating Anxiety Scale, respectively. Delayed TB treatment was defined as > 2 months since first TB symptoms. Logistic regression was used to examine the association between food insecurity and delayed TB treatment. Causal mediation analysis was conducted to assess the mediating roles of depression and anxiety. ResultsAmong the 180 participants, 45 (25%) experienced delayed TB treatment initiation. Participants with delayed TB treatment had slightly higher median scores for food insecurity (2 vs. 1, p = 0.11), depression (9 vs. 6, p = 0.001), and anxiety (37 vs. 34, p = 0.05). There was insufficient evidence of an overall association between food insecurity and delayed TB treatment initiation (OR = 1.04, 95% CI 0.98-1.11, p = 0.20). Mediation analysis found insufficient evidence of total and direct effects through depression and anxiety. However, there was evidence of significant indirect effect through depression (OR = 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.08, p < 0.001) and a borderline indirect effect through anxiety (OR = 1.02, 95% CI 1.00-1.04, p = 0.05). ConclusionMediation analysis revealed associations between food insecurity and delayed TB treatment initiation mediated by depression and anxiety which were not evident in total effects analysis. These findings highlight the importance of considering both socioeconomic and psychological factors in addressing delayed TB treatment. Further studies are needed to confirm these pathways.
Matuli, C.; Waeni, J. M.; Gicheru, E. T.; Sande, C. J.; Gallagher, K.
Show abstract
BackgroundTo date, accessible diagnostic tools to identify whether a patients pneumonia is a bacterial, or viral infection, are not accurate or timely enough to prevent preemptive antibiotic administration. Relying on single biomarkers or clinical presentations has been insufficient. We aimed to incorporate a wide range of novel biomarkers and clinical presentations in a multivariable model and validate its capacity to differentiate cases of bacterial and viral pneumonia. MethodsData from 457 children aged 2-59 months, admitted to Kilifi County Referral Hospital, Kenya, with bacterial (n = 229) and viral (n = 228) infections, were used to develop and validate a predictive multivariable Poisson regression model to differentiate pneumonia etiology. The Receiver Operating Characteristic curve was used to assess biomarker performance and validate the model internally. ResultsSixty-three percent (63%) of the children presented with severe pneumonia. 72% with viral pneumonia had severe pneumonia, compared to 54% with bacterial pneumonia who had severe pneumonia. In crude analyses, chest-wall indrawing, cough, convulsions, crackles, angiotensinogen, and Serpin Family A Member 1 were significantly associated with pneumonia etiology, controlling for age. However, only chest-wall indrawing remained significant in multivariable analyses after controlling for age. The model demonstrated fair, but inadequate, discrimination, with an Area Under the Curve of 0.61. ConclusionAmong the children admitted to hospital with WHO defined pneumonia, a wide range of biomarkers and clinical presentations still failed to distinguish bacterial from viral pneumonia.
Osman, M.; Ashwin, H.; Calder, G.; O'Toole, P.; Bakhiet, S. M.; Musa, A. M.; Kaye, P. M.; Fahal, A. H.
Show abstract
Mycetoma is a neglected tropical disease caused by various bacterial and fungal pathogens that has a significant health impact across a broad geographically defined "mycetoma belt" spanning South America, Africa and Asia. Histologically, mycetoma is characterised by invasive and destructive granuloma development in the skin, deep tissues and bone, leading to tissue destruction, deformities and high morbidity. The presence of macroscopic, highly compacted pathogen microcolonies, or "grains," is a key diagnostic feature, and the formation of grains supports pathogen persistence and disease chronicity. However, there is a paucity of information on immune responses in mycetoma patients and on the relative importance of phylogeny and/or grains in establishing the local immune landscape. Here, we used spatial proteomics to examine the distribution of 43 immune-related proteins in surgical biopsies from 11 patients with mycetoma of bacterial (Actinomycetoma; Actinomadura pelletierii and Streptomyces somaliensis; n=6) and fungal (Eumycetoma; Madurella mycetomatis; n=5) origin. Using mixed-effects modelling, an exploratory analysis across species and pathogen classes revealed few significant differences in immune marker expression. In contrast, and independently of pathogen class, the cellular infiltrate closest to grain boundaries had higher per-cell expression of CD66b+, ARG1, and VISTA. The preferential accumulation of CD66b+ARG1+VISTA+ cells at grain boundaries was confirmed by quantitative immunofluorescence analysis. Hence, the local tissue microenvironment surrounding the mycetoma grain represents a specialised immunosuppressive niche, with parallels to the tumour microenvironment.
Cuella-Martin, I.; Mulders, W.; Keysers, J.; Hakizayezu, F.; Niyompano, H.; Runyambo, D.; de Rijk, W.-B.; Phelan, J.; Mucyo Habimana, Y.; Migambi, P.; Sawadogo, M.; Mambo Muvunyi, C.; C. de Jong, B.; Ngabonziza, J. C. S.; Rigouts, L.; Meehan, C.
Show abstract
Background: In Rwanda, genomic surveillance identified a dominant multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) strain, the R3clone, responsible for approximately 70% of rifampicin-resistant TB cases. Its presence beyond Rwanda remains unexplored. Methods: Unique genetic signatures of the R3clone were defined using whole-genome sequencing of MDR-TB isolates from Rwanda. We developed a targeted qPCR assay detecting a clone-specific single-nucleotide polymorphism. With these tools, we screened isolates from neighbouring countries and public genomic repositories. Results: We identified 375 R3clone isolates, including 264 from historical Rwandan collections (1991-2021), 49 from recent Rwandan diagnostic routine (2021-2024), 25 from historical Burundi isolates (2002-2013), and 37 among public repositories from several countries. The R3clone-specific qPCR showed 100% specificity in distinguishing the R3clone from other MTBC (sub-)lineages. Transmission analysis revealed cross-border transmission of the R3clone within the Great Lakes Region. Conclusion: This study comprehensively assesses cross-border transmission of a dominant MDR-TB strain, highlighting the need for coordinated international surveillance.
Bastard, J.; Migne, C.; Helle, T.; Agneray, E.; Bigeard, C.; Boudjadi, Y.; Chevrier, M.; Dumarest, M.; Gondard, M.; Martin-Latil, S.; Mathews-Martin, L.; Petit, T.; Charpentier, T.; Pouillevet, H.; Durand, B.; Metras, R.; Gonzalez, G.
Show abstract
Zoos may serve as sentinel sites for zoonotic vector-borne diseases. West Nile virus (WNV) and Usutu virus (USUV) are closely related orthoflaviviruses transmitted between Culex mosquitoes and a bird reservoir. Both viruses can also infect mammals, including humans, where they may cause symptoms and, more rarely, hospitalization and death. However, serological cross-reactivity between WNV and USUV complicates their differential diagnosis. Here, we aimed to reconstruct the dynamics of emergence of WNV in a zoo located in a newly affected area in Europe, using ELISA and Virus Neutralization Test (VNT) serological analysis of 1707 animal sera collected between 2015 and 2024. Combining this data in a model accounting for cross-reactivity with USUV, we estimated yearly forces of infection (FOI) by both viruses, and thus found that WNV likely circulated in the area one year prior to the first cases reported to the passive surveillance system. Our results also showed that, in the zoo, mammals and reptiles had a lower risk of infection than birds (relative risk of 0.14 [0.05; 0.28]), and that the exposure of birds to water (aquatic lifestyle or proximity to stagnant water) affected the risk. Finally, we estimated diagnosis parameters, including the sensitivity of the VNT (80.4% [76.5%; 84.3%]), the expected VNT titer value, and the level of serological cross-reactivity between viruses during the VNT. To conclude, our modelling framework allowed to disentangle the co-circulation of two closely related viruses, a crucial point in ensuring the reliable sentinel surveillance of these vector-borne zoonotic pathogens.
Mandal, S.; Rade, K.; Singh, A.; Nair, S. A.; Sahu, S.
Show abstract
Background Tuberculosis (TB) remains a critical public health challenge, with two-thirds of the global TB burden in ten Asian countries. Social vulnerabilities, comorbidities, health inequity, multi-dimensional poverty, malnutrition, and barriers to healthcare access continue to fuel TB epidemic. Inability to detect asymptomatic and sub-clinical TB, combined with passive approach in service delivery and overreliance on smear microscopy, leads to delayed diagnosis, a substantial burden of undetected cases, and continuing TB transmission in the communities. In such a context, the introduction and scale-up of active case-finding approaches - including community-based TB screening using highly sensitive screening tools and novel rapid diagnostics - becomes a strategic priority to interrupt transmission. The growing availability of multiple screening and diagnostic options makes evidence-based decision-making increasingly complex. Methods To estimate the potential epidemiological impact and cost implications of scaling up TB diagnostics and community-based screening in ten high-burden Asian countries, we constructed a mathematical model and evaluated multiple intervention scenarios. We then assessed and compared four service delivery models: 1) digital ultraportable chest x-ray (UPCXR) & Xpert/Truenat in community, 2) digital UPCXR in community and Xpert/Truenat at health facilities, 3) digital UPCXR in community and near point of care (nPOC) at health facilities, 4) nPOC in community & Xpert/Truenat at health facilities - for total investment required and projected health benefits for their cost-effectiveness. Results and conclusions The modelling study indicated that strengthening health facility capacity (with enhanced TB screening, expanded molecular diagnostics, reduced loss to follow-up, private sector standard of care, leading to increased treatment coverage & quality of active disease treatment and reduced post-treatment relapse, scale-up of TB preventive treatment (TPT), and provision of nutritional support to 80% of TB patients and their household contacts) can significantly reduce TB incidence and mortality; however, community-wide mass screening remains essential to achieving TB elimination targets . Targeted screening of vulnerable populations demonstrated greater cost-effectiveness than untargeted screening approaches. Achieving the End TB goals will ultimately require an effective TB vaccine with high population-level coverage. AI-enabled digital UPCXR-based screening combined with Xpert/Truenat testing at the community level demonstrated maximum epidemiological impact potential, while the most cost-efficient model is Digital UPCXR in the community combined with nPOC testing at health facilities. An investment of USD 12.7 billion over the next five years in community-level implementation of digital UPCXR and molecular diagnostics could avert an additional 9.8 million TB cases and 1.9 million deaths across ten Asian countries over a ten-year horizon.
Lee, C. E.; Wilson, N. J.; Fisman, D.
Show abstract
Background: SARS-CoV-2 infection is an established prothrombotic trigger, yet the population-level temporal relationship between circulating viral activity and pulmonary embolism (PE) remains poorly characterized. We aimed to evaluate the short-term association between respiratory viral activity and PE hospitalizations, accounting for specific temporal lags. Methods: We conducted a population-level time-series analysis of incident PE hospitalizations in Ontario, Canada, from 2011 to 2024. Using distributed lag non-linear models, we assessed the association between standardized weekly activity levels of SARS-CoV-2, influenza A/B, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and PE risk over a 5-week lag period. Relative risks (RR) per standard deviation (SD) increase in viral activity were estimated via negative binomial regression using cross-basis terms to account for both exposure-response and lag-response non-linearities. Models were adjusted for Fourier seasonal terms and secular trends. Findings: Among 70,670 incident PE cases identified between 2011 and 2024, SARS-CoV-2 activity demonstrated a significant temporal association with PE. A cumulative RR increase of 20% per SD in SARS-CoV-2 activity was observed over the five weeks following exposure (RR 1.20; 95% CI 1.05-1.37). The risk followed a distinct delay trajectory: weekly cumulative RRs peaked at week 3 (RR 1.21; 95% CI 1.01-1.45). For the 2020-2024 period, influenza A also showed an association peaking at week 3 without statistical significance (RR 1.17; 95% CI 0.95-1.45). Interpretation: Increased population-level SARS-CoV-2 activity is associated with a heightened risk of PE, peaking at approximately the third week. This delayed peak suggests a protracted thrombo-inflammatory window, likely driven by sustained endothelial injury. These findings highlight the vascular burden of COVID-19 and suggest that infection prevention measures, including vaccination, may provide significant downstream protection against thromboembolic disease.